Will the percentage of philosophers identifying as religious in the next PhilPapers Survey decrease?
One-OffReligionSociety & Culture1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 81.6%
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Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 13, 24, 3:53 AM UTCMar 16, 28, 10:59 AM UTC
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In the 2020 PhilPapers Survey, philosophers were asked about their stance on theism versus atheism.
- The results showed that 14.6% of respondents accepted or leaned toward theism.
- This question aims to predict whether this percentage will decrease by the time of the 2028 survey.
- Participants should consider trends in the philosophical community, societal shifts in religious beliefs, and any other factors that might influence the religiosity of professional philosophers.
- The outcome will be determined based on the next PhilPapers Survey results for the same question, comparing the percentage of philosophers who accept or lean toward theism in 2028 to the 14.6% reported in 2020.
- Background: The PhilPapers Survey is a periodic survey that gauges philosophical attitudes and positions among professional philosophers and faculty members worldwide.
