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Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
$17KWill the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2030?
$300Will the Roman Catholic Church allow priests to perform same-sex marriages before 2075?
$116Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?
$101
Will the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
$0
What countries will Pope Leo visit before 2027?
$0Rules
If Pierbattista Pizzaballa becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.