Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 70%
Forecasters
263
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Apr 15, 26, 4:48 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 5:29 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Donald Trump post an image of himself as the prophet Muhammad?
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if Trump posts another religious image of himself before the end of his presidency.
- Resolves YES if the image is of a major figure: Jesus, Mohammed, the Buddha, the Messiah, etc. Resolves YES if the image is a remix of a sacred artwork: Trump at The Last Supper, Trump as Adam in Michelangelo's Creation of Adam, etc. Resolves NO if the image lacks grandeosity and is Christian in nature, like Trump just going to church or celebrating Thanksgiving.
- However, cross-religious depicitions like him meditating as a Buddhist resolve YES.
- The resolution date shall extend however long Trump remains in office, including for a 3rd term, but terminate early should he leave.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 70% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself? resolve?
- Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029.
- How is Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Trump posts another religious image of himself before the end of his presidency.