Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 72.3%
Forecasters
263
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleApr 15, 26, 4:48 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 5:29 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Donald Trump post an image of himself as the prophet Muhammad?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump post an image of him as a Hindu deity or priest or Buddha before the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWhat words or phrases will Trump post on Truth Social in 2026? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWhat will Trump post this week? (October 26 - November 1)
PolymarketIn 100 years (2123) will Trump worship will be a thing?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if Trump posts another religious image of himself before the end of his presidency.
- Resolves YES if the image is of a major figure: Jesus, Mohammed, the Buddha, the Messiah, etc. Resolves YES if the image is a remix of a sacred artwork: Trump at The Last Supper, Trump as Adam in Michelangelo's Creation of Adam, etc. Resolves NO if the image lacks grandeosity and is Christian in nature, like Trump just going to church or celebrating Thanksgiving.
- However, cross-religious depicitions like him meditating as a Buddhist resolve YES.
- The resolution date shall extend however long Trump remains in office, including for a 3rd term, but terminate early should he leave.
