PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Russia · —
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Stored reference
Moon / UFO / UAP 16%Leader of 12 outcomes
Moon / UFO / UAP 16%Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$84.1
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$101.3
Bid / Ask
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RussiaSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Oct 23, 26, 9:05 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · Russia
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Trump post this week? (October 19 - October 25)
PolymarketWhat will Elon post this week? (October 19 - October 25)
PolymarketWhat words or phrases will Trump post on Truth Social in 2026? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWill Trump post an image of him as a Hindu deity or priest or Buddha before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
PolymarketTed Cruz # posts October 27 - November 3, 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between October 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
- Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full.
- (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
- Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context.
