Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 41 minutes ago
Apr 3, 26, 8:32 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "YES" if the Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs on or before December 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO".
- Resolution will be based on consensus across major international news outlets and religious authorities confirming the event.
- In the event of ambiguity or lack of verifiable reporting, the market will resolve to "NO".
- The Second Coming of Jesus Christ is a foundational belief in Christianity, based on various biblical prophecies regarding the return of Jesus to Earth.
