How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (9/27 - 10/3)
70.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection16d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 2 99%+70.0ptMarket line of 3 lines
Above 2 99%+70.0ptMarket quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.8K
Open interest
$11.8K
Medium open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 26, 26, 2:00 PM UTCOct 17, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the President signs the named outcome executive orders during Sep 27, 2026 to Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Register
- How this is resolved
- The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to.
- For example, if the period was "Jan 1, 2025 to Jan 7, 2025," and on January 10th the Federal Register published a numbered Executive Order with a January 7th signing date, the market would resolve to Yes.
- Payout criteria
- An "Executive Order" is a numbered presidential directive that: is formally titled "Executive Order" followed by a number, is signed by the President, is published in the Federal Register, and has the force of law.
