KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Before Oct 28, 2026 (96%)
Resolved: Oct 18, 2026, 4:37 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 18, 2026, 4:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Before Oct 28, 202696%
Before Oct 28, 2026Won
Before Sep 1, 2026Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWho will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Donald Trump publicly endorses Benjamin Netanyahu in the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Donald Trump
- An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the nominee's election. The statement must be public (not private communications) and specifically reference the race or be clearly in context of the race. The endorsement must come directly from the person or through their official channels. Positive comments without explicit support, policy endorsements without nominee endorsement, or conditional endorsements do not qualify. Social media endorsements count only from verified accounts, and likes or retweets alone do not constitute endorsement. Quote tweets with additional supportive commentary do count. Sarcastic statements or those immediately clarified as jokes do not qualify.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Oct 28, 2026
- If Donald Trump publicly endorses Benjamin Netanyahu in the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump publicly endorses Benjamin Netanyahu in the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.