KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityBefore Oct 28, 2026 54%+5.0%
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$947.6
Liquidity
$3.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
53.0% / 54.0%
Spread
1.9%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jun 29, 26, 7:56 PMOct 28, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before Oct 28, 202654%
Related Markets
Who will Andy Burnham meet in person in 2026?
$0Donald Trump: 58.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How many of these 34 AIPAC endorsees will lose their primaries (through August 4 primaries)?
$1.1K2–3: 47%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIf Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
$116Yes: 47.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
$210Yes: 33%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$383.6KBenjamin Netanyahu: 39%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWho will be the Israeli PM after the next election?
$752Bibi netanyahu: 39%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Iran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.News
Ripple, Coinbase among top donors in crypto’s $189 million election spending: reportThe Block
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Iran-Oman Hormuz transit fee talks hit odds: Polymarket sees 85.5% NoBlockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto NewsRules
If Donald Trump publicly endorses Benjamin Netanyahu in the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the nominee's election.
- The statement must be public (not private communications) and specifically reference the race or be clearly in context of the race.
- The endorsement must come directly from the person or through their official channels.
- Positive comments without explicit support, policy endorsements without nominee endorsement, or conditional endorsements do not qualify.
- Social media endorsements count only from verified accounts, and likes or retweets alone do not constitute endorsement.