KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 71%
No 71%Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$14.7K
Open interest
$50.6K
High open interestBid / Ask
25.0% / 30.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 6:00 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the United States has imposed a ban on exports of diesel that has gone into effect after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The GuardianFox NewsThe InformationMSNBCABCBBC NewsCBSNBCthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalReutersCNNABC News AustraliaAxiosSemaforPoliticoThe Washington Postthe Associated PressCBC (Canada)Bloomberg News
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
