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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Regulation
  3. Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?
Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?

Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?

RegulationCryptoYearly6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 98%
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$44.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

93.0% / 99.0%

Spread

6.5%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

May 5, 26, 2:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes98%

Rules

If legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency has become law after Issuance and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,827.37+2.68%

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SBF released from custody in 2026?

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What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

$947
↓ $2: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Gold and silver will outperform bitcoin in 2026

$516
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Manifold Markets

Which investment will give the best return 1 year after Jan 1st 2026?

$325
Facebook stock META: 1.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

$191.9
50: 76%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

EthereumETH$1,654.71+2.20%SolanaSOL$65.31+3.12%XRPXRP$1.12+0.78%BNBBNB$598.69+2.59%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.04%HyperliquidHYPE$55.86+0.70%

Related News

Crypto tax bills draw scrutiny as House hearing opens debateCrypto NewsCrypto tax bills a work-in-progress as U.S. House lawmakers pose concernsCoindeskKristin Smith pushes Senate to protect crypto developers in CLARITY ActCrypto NewsSolana Institute CEO says CLARITY Act must shield open-source developersCointelegraphParadigm challenges FDIC over controversial stablecoin yield banCrypto NewsUK financial regulator moves to allow mutual funds 10% exposure to crypto ETNsCoindesk

Rules

If legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency has become law after Issuance and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.