KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 93%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
94.0% / 99.0%
Spread
5.3%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
May 5, 26, 2:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes93%
Volume trend
$9Jul 211d of dataJul 21
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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If legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency has become law after Issuance and Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
- For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
- Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
- Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
- Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.