What are the current odds for Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day??

Manifold Markets prices No at 77% as of September 28, 2026.

Where else is Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day? listed?

The same question is also listed on Kalshi.

Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

Politics CommoditiesOne-OffElection1mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 77%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 11 minutes ago

Sep 25, 26, 1:21 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

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Diesel export ban before midterms?

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US Average DIESEL Price Is $8 or more on any day in 2026?

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Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 30 kt

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Rules

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdieselexportban/us-diesel-export-ban/kxdieselexportban-26

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If the United States has imposed a ban on exports of diesel that has gone into effect after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Prediction Source Comparison

Also available on Kalshi — Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day? · No 71%

Report a data issue with this market

Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

Politics CommoditiesOne-OffElection1mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 77%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 11 minutes ago

Sep 25, 26, 1:21 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?

Kalshi

Will the US ban mail-in ballots for the 2026 midterm elections?

Futuur

US Average DIESEL Price Is $6.000 or more on Election Day 2026?

Manifold Markets

Diesel export ban before midterms?

Manifold Markets

US Average DIESEL Price Is $8 or more on any day in 2026?

Manifold Markets

Will Brazil's April–September 2026 ferroniobium exports exceed 30 kt

Manifold Markets

Rules

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdieselexportban/us-diesel-export-ban/kxdieselexportban-26

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If the United States has imposed a ban on exports of diesel that has gone into effect after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Prediction Source Comparison

Also available on Kalshi — Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day? · No 71%

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day??: Manifold Markets prices No at 77% as of September 28, 2026.
When does Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day? resolve?: Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
How is Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdieselexportban/us-diesel-export-ban/kxdieselexportban-26
Where else is Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day? listed?: The same question is also listed on Kalshi.

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https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/will-the-us-ban-diesel-exports-befo

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Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

Prediction Source Comparison

Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

Prediction Source Comparison

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

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