Will the U.S. grant CAATSA sanctions relief to Turkey this year?
7.0 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolitics2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2027 39%
Before Jan 1, 2027 39%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$21
Open interest
$4.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jan 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 28, 26, 4:15 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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Before Oct 1, 2026Lost
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- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2027
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KalshiRules
If the White House, the U.S. Department of State, or the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce the completion of a sanctions-relief action, through a waiver, license, termination, revocation, delisting, or equivalent mechanism, that removes or suspends any sanction imposed on December 14, 2020, under CAATSA Section 231 against Turkey’s Presidency of Defense Industries (SSB) or any Turkish official named in that action, or authorizes conduct otherwise prohibited by any such sanction before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the White House, the U.S. Department of State, or the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce the completion of a sanctions-relief action, through a waiver, license, termination, revocation, delisting, or equivalent mechanism, that removes or suspends any sanction imposed on December 14, 2020, under CAATSA Section 231 against Turkey’s Presidency of Defense Industries (SSB) or any Turkish official named in that action, or authorizes conduct otherwise prohibited by any such sanction before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If the White House, the U.S. Department of State, or the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce the completion of a sanctions-relief action, through a waiver, license, termination, revocation, delisting, or equivalent mechanism, that removes or suspends any sanction imposed on December 14, 2020, under CAATSA Section 231 against Turkey’s Presidency of Defense Industries (SSB) or any Turkish official named in that action, or authorizes conduct otherwise prohibited by any such sanction before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.