Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?
One-OffPoliticsEurope2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2028 29%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jan 1, 2028 29%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$3.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
—
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Mar 5, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2028
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor (formerly Prince Andrew) to face criminal charges in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAndrew Mountbatten-Windsor sentenced to prison in 2026?
FutuurWill the Speaker of the House of Representatives still be in the Presidential line of succession in 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill SNCF operates 15+ night train line before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2029 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRules
If legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne has become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:UK Parliament
- For the purposes of this contract, enactment is satisfied upon the bill receiving Royal Assent in the United Kingdom; corresponding legislation or formal consent by Commonwealth realms is not required. Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. For standard legislation requiring executive approval, this includes final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods. For legislation not requiring executive approval, this includes final passage and completion of required waiting periods. For constitutional amendments, this includes passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes. For executive orders, this includes official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness. Legislative passage without completed executive action, passage by only some required bodies, provisional passage, non-binding resolutions, and draft orders do not constitute enactment. Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne has become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne has become law in United Kingdom before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne has become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.