Current implied probability
Yes 16%-3.0%
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4
Liquidity
$40.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 18.0%
Spread
20.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Apr 30, 24, 12:00 PMJan 1, 30, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes16%
Large trades
$4.6k82.0%
KALSHINo18d ago
KALSHINo18d ago$1.1k81.0%KALSHINo18d ago
KALSHINo18d agoVolume trend
$4Jul 817d of dataJul 26
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If China has overtaken US GDP by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.