Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffMiddle EastRussia / UkraineChinaEurope4mo
GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Viktor Orbán 100%Leader of 35 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$100
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Apr 8, 26, 8:34 PMJan 1, 27, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
For each listed world leader, this market resolves Yes if they officially announce their intention to leave office or actually leave office before Jan 1, 2027.
- If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of New Zealand or has actually left Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency.
- Temporary absences do not count.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Keir Starmer 100% · 2 venues · 0 pt band
- Also available on Kalshi — Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Keir Starmer 100%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? · Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) 100%
