GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Sep 14, 2026, 5:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Don Davis 59.5%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$308
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
62.0% / 63.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 52 minutes ago
LaggingAug 21, 26, 4:11 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 1:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in North Carolina-01?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. House election in NC-01, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-5.0pt72%
- Yes+5.0pt28%
- Total Vol
- $16.6M
- 24h Vol
- $875.5K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt48.1%
- D-House, R-Senate34.6%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt15.4%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+19.0pt63%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+14.0pt54%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+16.0pt52%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $217.2M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt52%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva46.1%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.5pt36.1%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.8%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for North Carolina-01 Winner?
- Gemini prices Don Davis at 60% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does North Carolina-01 Winner resolve?
- North Carolina-01 Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2026.
- How is North Carolina-01 Winner settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in North Carolina-01?