KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Deport / Deported / Deportation (99%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 1:51 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Deport / Deported / Deportation
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
22%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 17, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
America First66%
Deport / Deported / Deportation74%
FEMA84%
Charlotte / Golf81%
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement77%
Crypto / Bitcoin4%
Rigged Election26%
Event does not qualify1%
Barack Hussein Obama50%
AI / Artificial Intelligence69%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline97%
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating68%
Healthcare86%
Dividend / Stimulus86%
Transgender90%
Trump Account60%
Sanctuary86%
Zohran / Mamdani11%
Hurricane / Helene91%
Kamala42%
Green New Scam16%
MAGA / Make America Great Again92%
Windmill9%
Fraud76%
Made in America / American Made62%
ICE83%
Iran97%
Supreme Court85%
EV / Electric Vehicle22%
Save America Act90%
Ceasefire1%
Deport / Deported / DeportationWon
Dividend / StimulusLost
SanctuaryLost
FEMALost
TransgenderLost
HottestLost
FraudLost
BidenLost
ICELost
Communist / CommunismLost
IranLost
Charlotte / GolfLost
KamalaLost
Supreme CourtLost
Oil / Gas / GasolineLost
Hurricane / HeleneLost
Cheat / Cheater / CheatingLost
Endorse / Endorsed / EndorsementLost
LandslideLost
Fake NewsLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Trump say in October?
PolymarketNorth Carolina Senate Election Winner
PolymarketNorth Carolina's Senate election winner
FutuurWill Laurie Buckhout win the North Carolina 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Don Davis win the North Carolina 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the remarks in Gastonia, North Carolina originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks in Gastonia, North Carolina originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.