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Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 9:06 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Transgender · —
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Stored price
Transgender 93.5%Leader of 36 outcomes
Transgender 93.5%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$6.1K
Open interest
$5.5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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TransgenderSpread
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Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 30, 26, 5:15 PM UTCNov 14, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Transgender
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Trump say during his rally in Dubuque, Iowa?
KalshiWhat will Trump say during his rally in Daytona Beach, Florida?
KalshiWhat will Trump say during his Midterm rally in Florida?
PolymarketWhat will Trump say this week? (October 26 - November 1)
PolymarketWhat will Trump say in November?
PolymarketWhat will Trump say in October?
PolymarketRules
If Donald Trump says Save America Act as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Rules for each outcome
- Transgender
- If Donald Trump says Transgender as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Save America Act
- If Donald Trump says Save America Act as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kamala
- If Donald Trump says Kamala as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Steel
- If Donald Trump says Steel as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Windmill
- If Donald Trump says Windmill as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- China / Chinese
- If Donald Trump says China / Chinese as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Farm / Farmer
- If Donald Trump says Farm / Farmer as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Diesel
- If Donald Trump says Diesel as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Made in America / American Made
- If Donald Trump says Made in America / American Made as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fraud (3+ times)
- If Donald Trump says Fraud (3+ times) as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tariff (3+ times)
- If Donald Trump says Tariff (3+ times) as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hormuz
- If Donald Trump says Hormuz as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nuclear (3+ times)
- If Donald Trump says Nuclear (3+ times) as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran (5+ times)
- If Donald Trump says Iran (5+ times) as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Russia / Ukraine
- If Donald Trump says Russia / Ukraine as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Boeing
- If Donald Trump says Boeing as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Supreme Court
- If Donald Trump says Supreme Court as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cattle
- If Donald Trump says Cattle as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Insurance
- If Donald Trump says Insurance as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ethanol
- If Donald Trump says Ethanol as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Corn
- If Donald Trump says Corn as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Social Security (5+ times)
- If Donald Trump says Social Security (5+ times) as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data Center
- If Donald Trump says Data Center as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- NATO
- If Donald Trump says NATO as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Veteran
- If Donald Trump says Veteran as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Deport / Deported / Deportation
- If Donald Trump says Deport / Deported / Deportation as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If Donald Trump says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ceasefire
- If Donald Trump says Ceasefire as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump Account
- If Donald Trump says Trump Account as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fentanyl
- If Donald Trump says Fentanyl as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Crypto / Bitcoin
- If Donald Trump says Crypto / Bitcoin as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Small Business
- If Donald Trump says Small Business as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- ICE
- If Donald Trump says ICE as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Aircraft / Aviation
- If Donald Trump says Aircraft / Aviation as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Water
- If Donald Trump says Water as part of midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.