Current implied probability
Greg Murphy 50%
Greg Murphy 50%Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
1.0% / -
Traders
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Aug 24, 26, 12:48 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 1:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in North Carolina-03?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. House election in NC-03, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F8634b5141fe14d6783a347884150d6bd?alt=media&token=f103a20d-e51f-47f5-ad36-03aaaafec1cc&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Greg Murphy (R) is 86%. The venue spread is about 36 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Greg Murphy (R) 86% · 3 venues · 36 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — NC-03 House winner? · Greg Murphy 83%
- Also available on Polymarket — NC-03 House Election Winner · Greg Murphy (R) 86%
