KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Trump · —
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Stored price
Trump 92.5%Leader of 16 outcomes
Trump 92.5%Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$11.5K
Open interest
$8.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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TrumpSpread
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Market data
Updated 58 minutes ago
LaggingOct 30, 26, 10:30 PM UTCNov 15, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Trump
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Scott Bessent say during Face the Nation?
KalshiWhat will Bernie say during Face the Nation?
KalshiWill Josh Shapiro be reelected
Manifold MarketsWill Josh Shapiro win the Pennsylvania general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExWill Josh Shapiro get 60.00% or more of the vote in 2026 Pennsylvania Governor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Josh Shapiro get 60.00% or more of the vote in 2026 Pennsylvania Governor election?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Josh Shapiro says Trump as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersThe New York Timesthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Josh Shapiro speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Rules for each outcome
- Trump
- If Josh Shapiro says Trump as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Election
- If Josh Shapiro says Election as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democrat
- If Josh Shapiro says Democrat as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Measles
- If Josh Shapiro says Measles as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Corrupt / Corruption
- If Josh Shapiro says Corrupt / Corruption as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican
- If Josh Shapiro says Republican as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Healthcare
- If Josh Shapiro says Healthcare as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tariff
- If Josh Shapiro says Tariff as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2028 / Campaign
- If Josh Shapiro says 2028 / Campaign as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iran / Iranian
- If Josh Shapiro says Iran / Iranian as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vaccine / Vaccination
- If Josh Shapiro says Vaccine / Vaccination as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Affordable / Affordability
- If Josh Shapiro says Affordable / Affordability as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- AI / Artificial Intelligence
- If Josh Shapiro says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data Center
- If Josh Shapiro says Data Center as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vance
- If Josh Shapiro says Vance as part of Face the Nation originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Event does not qualify
- If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.