Current implied probability
Yes 53%
Yes 53%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityTraders
0
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Trends
Rules
This market resolves "Yes" if France's 2027 budget law (Loi de finances pour 2027) is passed by Parliament and published in the Journal officiel by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET.
- Special or emergency funding bills do not count.
- FULL DETAILS
- If the French Parliament passes a national budget for 2027 (Loi de finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of the French Republic (Journal officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00; 22:59 UTC), this market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Only the Loi de finances pour 2027 counts; special or emergency funding bills are not taken into account.
- The Primary Designated Source is official information from the French Government, specifically the Official Journal of the French Republic (journal-officiel.gouv.fr); a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
