Current implied probability
AfD 84%
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$18.6
Liquidity
$2K
Low liquidityTraders
4
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?
PolymarketAfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Manifold MarketsCDU above 5% in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Manifold MarketsMecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $837.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which party will win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election??
- Futuur prices AfD at 84% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which party will win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election? resolve?
- Which party will win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election? is scheduled to resolve on September 19, 2026.