Current community forecast
No 96.3%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 17, 25, 6:04 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurIf nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Absolute majority = majority of seats, allowing for a single-party government
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election? resolve?
- AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Absolute majority = majority of seats, allowing for a single-party government