FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probabilityDemocratic Party 57%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory
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PolymarketWill a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?
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Manifold Markets2026 Ohio Senate Race
Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
This event concerns which political party will win the United States Senate special election in the state of Ohio, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Each of the markets below covers one party; exactly one will resolve "Yes".
- The market corresponding to the party of the candidate who is officially elected to the U.S. Senate seat from Ohio will resolve to "Yes".
- A candidate will be considered affiliated with a political party based on their official ballot-listed party designation.
- If the officially elected candidate's ballot-listed designation is not one of the parties listed below, all listed markets resolve "No".
- This is a special election to fill the remainder of the unexpired U.S. Senate term (running through January 2029).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Ohio Senate winner? · Sherrod Brown 62%
- Also available on Polymarket — Ohio Senate Election Winner · Sherrod Brown (D) 61%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Ohio Senate Race · Democrat 65%
