FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Democratic Party 87%
Democratic Party 87%Market quality
39 / 100
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which Party will win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate Election
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate Election?
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PolymarketNew Hampshire Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketNew Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketWill Democrat Chris Pappas win New Hampshire Senate election by 10% or more?
Manifold MarketsRules
This event concerns which political party will win the United States Senate election in the state of New Hampshire, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Each of the markets below covers one party; exactly one will resolve to "Yes".
- The market corresponding to the party of the candidate who is officially elected to the U.S. Senate seat from New Hampshire will resolve to "Yes".
- A candidate will be considered affiliated with a political party based on their official ballot-listed party designation.
- If the officially elected candidate's ballot-listed designation is not one of the parties listed below, all listed markets resolve to "No".
- The winner is the candidate who receives the most votes (plurality); New Hampshire does not hold runoff elections for the general election.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — New Hampshire Senate Election Winner · Chris Pappas (D) 90%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 New Hampshire Senate Race · Democrat 91%
- Also available on Kalshi — New Hampshire Senate winner? · Chris Pappas 89%
