Current community forecast
Democrats 82.7%
Forecasters
33
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-2.9 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 24, 26, 4:46 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic party win the New Hampshire general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExNew Hampshire Senate Election Winner
PolymarketNew Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketNew Hampshire Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketWho will win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Update 2026-01-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a third party or independent candidate wins, this market will resolve to N/A.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Party will win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate Election?
- Manifold Markets prices Democrats at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which Party will win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate Election resolve?
- Which Party will win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate Election is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Which Party will win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate Election settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2026-01-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a third party or independent candidate wins, this market will resolve to N/A.