ForecastExLimited verified dataCurrent implied probabilityNo 71%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$140
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before September 1, 2026?
ForecastExStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by January 31? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWhich month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
PolymarketWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketRules
Hormuz Return to Normal January 1 2027.
- Will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before January 1, 2027? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.
Open markets
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-8.0pt72%
- September 18-7.5pt68%
- September 11-10.5pt60%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $441.2K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt29.3%
- September 30-2.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.5pt80.2%
- Yes-4.5pt19.8%
- Total Vol
- $10.9M
- 24h Vol
- $288.5K
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+5.0pt58.2%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-1.0pt28.6%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+0.1pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Al Nassr vs Abha
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before January 1, 2027??
- ForecastEx prices No at 71% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before January 1, 2027? resolve?
- Will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before January 1, 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 5, 2027.
- How is Will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before January 1, 2027? settled?
- ForecastEx settles this market as follows: Hormuz Return to Normal January 1 2027.