Will Mike Thompson win the California 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Mike Thompson win the California 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026??

ForecastEx prices Yes at 65% as of October 30, 2026.

When does Will Mike Thompson win the California 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026? resolve?

Will Mike Thompson win the California 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 11, 2026.

How is Will Mike Thompson win the California 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026? settled?

ForecastEx settles this market as follows: CA-04 General Election November 3 2026.

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POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt93.1%
• Republican Party-0.5pt6.9%

Total Vol

$31.2M

24h Vol

$4.9M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+1.0pt66.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt26.5%
• Republicans sweep

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+2.0pt67.7%
• R Senate, D-3.0pt24.5%
• Republicans Sweep6.9%

+2 more outcomes

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+1.0pt69.5%
• Ken Paxton-2.0pt30.5%

Total Vol

$52.7M

24h Vol

$3.3M

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt92%
• Republican Party-1.0pt8.1%

Total Vol

$82M

24h Vol

$2.7M

KALSHI

Texas Governor winner?

• Greg Abbott-1.0pt62.5%
• Gina Hinojosa+1.0pt37.5%

Total Vol

$10.3M

24h Vol

$1.7M

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