SmarketsCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataCurrent implied probabilityAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez 6.67%Leader of 33 outcomes
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$23
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7%
Compare venues· JD Vance
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall85% match · auto | Medium | 20% | 0pt | $1.2M | $37.5M | 19 minutes ago | Open → |
 Kalshi70% match · verified | Medium | 18% | -2pt | $256.5K | $36.3M | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
| SmarketsThis page | Low | 13% | -7pt | $23 | $0 | 12 minutes ago | |
 Futuur85% match · auto | Low | 15% | -5pt | $0 | $0 | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
 Myriad83% match · linked | Low | 36% | +16pt | $0 | $0 | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
 Limitless80% match · auto | Low | 50% | +30pt | $0 | $0 | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets85% match · linked | — | 19% | -1pt | — | — | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2y
20%
+0.1%14%
+0.3%12%
+125 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$655.1M
24h Vol$1.2M
POLYMARKETAlso available on Manifold Markets
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
2y
0.3%
-0.2%13.4%
0.2%
+42 more outcomes
Community forecast1,006 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Futuur
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
3mo
15%
15%
14%
+2 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$299.9
24h Vol$0
FUTUURAlso available on Myriad
US Presidential Election Winner 2028
45.8%2y
-0.5%36.4%
+4.2%26.8%
-0.7%5.1%
+28 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
MYRIADAlso available on Limitless
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2y
50%
50%
50%
+4 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$16.7K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSAlso available on Kalshi
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
0.1%3y
+0.1%1%
18%
2%
+27 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$50.5M
24h Vol$256.5K
KALSHIRules
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$23Jul 84d of dataJul 11
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Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?