PredictItClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Unverified resolution data: No (99%)
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 3:58 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
NoAwaiting result
YesAwaiting result
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiWill John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by June 30?
PredictItSen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to Yes in the event that, by the End Date listed below, Senator John Fetterman definitively and unconditionally withdraws from the Democratic Party.
- Participation or membership in the Senate Democratic Caucus shall not be sufficient by itself to cause this market to resolve to No.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 09/30/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
