PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
Michael Katz 99%
Michael Katz 99%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
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Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 14, 26, 5:54 PM UTCJul 3, 28, 4:00 AM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?
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Manifold MarketsWhich state will have the highest Republican senate candidate vote percent in 2026?
Manifold MarketsExcluding Susan Collins, will any Republican senate candidate get a higher percent of the vote than trump did in 2024?
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PolymarketRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the Republican nominating contest in the 2026 election for U.S. Senator from Delaware.
Should no primary election or other nominating contest be held, due to a candidate running unopposed, this market will resolve in favor of such candidate.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
Should no primary election or other nominating contest be held, due to a candidate running unopposed, this market will resolve in favor of such candidate.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
