Will a Republican senate vote in a Democratic Supreme Court nominee?
One-OffUS PoliticsPoliticsElection3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:17 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No (Team Pisco) 94.5%
No (Team Pisco) 94.5%Forecasters
11
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 4, 24, 2:03 PM UTCApr 2, 30, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Timestamp of Pisco vs Destiny bet: https://www.youtube.com/live/b4Pg1ZnAbBg?si=AsEcXMT5ggkv_ela&t=23069
- Summary of bet: Pisco bet that the senate will not vote in a Democratic nominee.
- Calendar for Supreme Court events: https://www.supremecourt.gov/oral_arguments/calendarsandlists.aspx
- Market will close if either of the conditions are met:
- No - If no one is seated
- No - if a Republican is seated
