Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in South Dakota?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms1y
PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
Republican 97%
Republican 97%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
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Updated 1 minute ago
Nov 25, 25, 4:10 PM UTCNov 1, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
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PredictItWhich Party will win the 2026 Senate Election in South Dakota?
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Manifold MarketsRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S. Senate from South Dakota.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed affiliation, of that party.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed affiliation, of that party.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — South Dakota Senate winner? · Mike Rounds 93%
- Also available on Smarkets — South Dakota Senate Election Winner · Republican 95%
- Also available on Polymarket — South Dakota Senate Election Winner · Mike Rounds (R) 92%
