Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Alaska?
3.0 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms10mo
PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
Democratic (Peltola) 96%+3.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Democratic (Peltola) 96%+3.0ptMethodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
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24h Volume
$89.3K
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 11, 25, 3:01 PM UTCSep 4, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
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FutuurRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S. Senate from Alaska.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed affiliation, of that party.
Candidates who do not meet the above-stated criteria for either the Democratic or Republican parties shall be considered to be "Independent."
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed affiliation, of that party.
Candidates who do not meet the above-stated criteria for either the Democratic or Republican parties shall be considered to be "Independent."
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate race? · Mary Peltola (D) 97%
