Which party will win the 2026 US House election in Iowa's 1st District?
One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics2026 US Midterms8mo
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Current implied probability
Democratic 89%
Democratic 89%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
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Updated 1 minute ago
Jul 16, 25, 2:51 PM UTCJul 14, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
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PredictItIowa and Iowa St. to both make the Round of 16
KalshiIowa's 1st District margin of victory
KalshiIowa's 1st District margin of victory
KalshiRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the party whose candidate wins the 2026 election to the U.S. House of Representatives from Iowa's 1st Congressional District.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed affiliation, of that party.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party if such individual is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed affiliation, of that party.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
