Will US attack Yemen in 2023?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Jan 8, 2024, 12:32 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
NoWon
YesLost
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America initiates a military attack on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory between December 14, 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military attack" is any use of force executed by the US on Yemeni soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a Houthi weapons depot on Yemeni soil is subject to a US missile strike, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. federal government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count.
- The US striking an unmanned aerial vehicle or projectile over Yemeni territory in a defensive capacity will NOT count toward a "Yes" resolution.