PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 5:45 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 5:35 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
NoWon
YesLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.
- A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff.
- This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).