KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 10:09 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Mar 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Mar 1, 2027 38.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Mar 1, 2027 38.5%Market quality
18 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$1.9K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before Mar 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 28, 26, 8:00 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Mar 1, 2027
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Rules
If Zohran Mamdani has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the White House before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fox NewsWhite HouseThe New York TimesAxiosAPBloombergABCNBCMSNBCSemaforThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCNNReutersPoliticoThe InformationCBSBBCThe Guardian
- Visits that began before market issuance do not count. The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one. Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit. Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit. The White House means any of: The Executive Residence, the West Wing, the East Wing, the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, and all gardens, lawns, and outdoor spaces within the secured perimeter of the White House, including the Rose Garden and the South Lawn.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Mar 1, 2027
- If Zohran Mamdani has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the White House before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Zohran Mamdani has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the White House before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Zohran Mamdani has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the White House before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
