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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. US Politics
  3. Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

One-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 6%
Market quality

64 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$662.7

Liquidity

$75.9K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

5.0% / 6.0%

Spread

20.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-1.0%

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jan 5, 26, 7:19 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes6%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,777.23+2.12%EthereumETH$1,655.03+1.41%SolanaSOL$65.12+1.41%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.32%XRPXRP$1.11+0.25%BNBBNB$596.09+1.69%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.