Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 84% as of October 12, 2026.

When does Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026? resolve?

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: "invade" means US military attempts to seize territory in Iran.

Where else is Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026? listed?

The same question is also listed on Limitless, Polymarket, Manifold Markets.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

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POLYMARKET

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

• No Hormuz Agreement88.9%
• D6.1%
• R5%

Total Vol

$964.5K

24h Vol

$971.6K

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 12+2.4pt99%
• October 15+2.0pt95%
• October 3179%

+9 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 12+3.1pt100%
• October 15+3.0pt94%
• October 31+1.5pt80%

+4 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 31-0.5pt67%
• December 31+0.5pt44%
• November 30+0.5pt27%

+20 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

• No-1.0pt82.2%
• Yes+1.0pt17.8%

Total Vol

$73.5M

24h Vol

$226.6K

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 15+1.6pt97%
• October 31+1.0pt86%
• November 1575%

+24 more outcomes

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