Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastYes 15.4%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 24 days ago
StaleJun 9, 26, 2:45 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes15%
Also available on Polymarket
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1.0%5mo
-0.0%13%
+0.0%88%
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$39.2M
24h Vol$46.2K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Manifold Markets
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
6mo
12.9%
87.1%
Community forecast214 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$75.6K
24h Vol$100
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.