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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

0.1% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionMiddle East18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 1%
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$913.2

Liquidity

$17.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.4% / 0.6%

Spread

50.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-0.8%

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Mar 1, 26, 8:13 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
No
No
100%

Selected outcome

Yes1%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
  • Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
  • Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
  • Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
  • Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.