KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 94%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$13K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.6% / 5.0%
Spread
4.4 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Mar 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Iran hold a presidential election by which date?
PolymarketWill Ukraine hold a presidential election in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Ukraine hold a presidential election?
KalshiWhen will Ukraine hold their next Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Argentina hold presidential elections on schedule in 2027?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRules
If Iran holds a presidential election before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Iran hold a presidential election??
- Kalshi prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Iran hold a presidential election? resolve?
- Will Iran hold a presidential election? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Iran hold a presidential election? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Iran holds a presidential election before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.