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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?
When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?

When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionLatin America6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 18%-2.0%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.1

Liquidity

$746.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

18.0% / 19.0%

Spread

5.6%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Jan 4, 26, 10:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
0%

Selected outcome

Before Jan 1, 202718%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

1.5%6mo
December 31
December 31
+1.5%39%
March 31
March 31
+0.4%0%
January 31
January 31
-0.5%0%
52 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$580.8K
24h Vol$1.9K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If Venezuela holds a presidential election before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Venezuela holds a presidential election before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Venezuela holds a presidential election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Venezuela holds a presidential election before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Rules

If Venezuela holds a presidential election before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Venezuela holds a presidential election before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Venezuela holds a presidential election before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Venezuela holds a presidential election before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.