Current implied probability
$7.000+ 44.4%-9.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$26.8
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquiditySpread
23.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
3
7d Change
-9.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Apr 3, 26, 3:13 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Trump suspension of Tariffs on ground beef be fully implemented and last the announce 90 day time period
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release.
- This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart.
- If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
- The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for $7.000+ is 44%. Quotes span about 10 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference $7.000+ 44% · 2 venues · 10 pt venue spread
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will ground beef hit __ in 2026??
- Polymarket prices $7.000+ at 44% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? resolve?
- Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112).
- Where else is Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Limitless.
