Current implied probability
$7.000+ 78%+3.0%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
58.0% / 98.0%
Spread
69.0%
Wide spread7d Change
+3.0%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Apr 3, 26, 3:13 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
$7.000+78%
Compare venues· $7.000+
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LimitlessBest overall79% match · verified | Low | 42% | -36pt | $0 | $0 | 10 minutes ago | Open → |
 PolymarketThis page | Low | 78% | 0pt | $0 | $1.1K | 10 minutes ago |
Also available on Limitless
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
5mo
45.1%
42.1%
27.3%
+1 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.1K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S.
- City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St.
- Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release.
- This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$19Jul 314d of dataJul 24
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S.
- City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St.
- Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release.
- This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St.