LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
$7.000+ 50%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Apr 27, 26, 5:50 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Trump suspension of Tariffs on ground beef be fully implemented and last the announce 90 day time period
Manifold MarketsDoes the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
Manifold MarketsAbove-ground nuclear explosion by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
PolymarketAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketRules
$9.000+ · $8.000+ · $7.000+ · $10.000+.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release.
- This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart.
- If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place.
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for $7.000+ is 55%. Quotes span about 10 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference $7.000+ 55% · 2 venues · 10 pt venue spread
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will ground beef hit __ in 2026??
- Limitless prices $7.000+ at 50% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? resolve?
- Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? settled?
- Limitless settles this market as follows: $9.000+ · $8.000+ · $7.000+ · $10.000+. <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (<a href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112</a>).
- Where else is Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.
