PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
John Healey 11.8%Leader of 22 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
John Healey 11.8%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$41
Liquidity
$185K
High liquiditySpread
0.4 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
7d Change
+3.8 pts
Market data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Aug 6, 26, 9:30 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual, of those named in this list, whose departure from his or her position in the cabinet of Andy Burnham is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- The departure will be considered to be announced when the specified individual, Andy Burnham, the Government of the United Kingdom, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that the specified individual has ceased or will cease to hold a United Kingdom cabinet position.
- Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position.
- Announcements of the specified person's resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
- Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave office in 2 years," nor "I will not be in office forever," would qualify).
- Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person's duties in the specified position do not qualify.