PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Nobel · —
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Stored reference
Nobel 76%Leader of 13 outcomes
Nobel 76%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$724.1
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
NobelSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 12:21 AM UTCOct 19, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · Nobel
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Trump say in October?
PolymarketWhat will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18)
PolymarketWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiWhat will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
PolymarketHow many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump say the name "Henry Novak" on video in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
- Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf