Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
0.3 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsEuropeGeopolitics2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 96%
No 96%Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.8
Liquidity
$12.6K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$5.8K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
7
7d Change
-0.9 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 16, 26, 5:39 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
