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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsEuropeGeopolitics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 9%-0.0%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$2.2

Liquidity

$20.3K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

7.0% / 11.0%

Spread

57.1%

Wide spread
7d Change

-4.0%

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jan 16, 26, 5:41 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes9%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$65,844.35+2.38%EthereumETH$1,720.35+2.51%SolanaSOL$71.27+4.43%DogecoinDOGE$0.0887+1.26%XRPXRP$1.18+2.79%BNBBNB$617.12+1.08%

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.