Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 76.8%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleFeb 4, 24, 10:37 PM UTCJan 2, 35, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.6pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.8pt3%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $25.9M
- 24h Vol
- $661.5K
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-4.0pt83.2%
- Yes+4.0pt16.8%
- Total Vol
- $952.6K
- 24h Vol
- $150.6K
POLYMARKETMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- AfD+2.0pt78.4%
- SPD-1.0pt21.6%
- CDU0%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.0pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-2.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.1pt1%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Berlin State Election Winner
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Hungary still be a voting member of the EU European Commission in 2035??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 77% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Hungary still be a voting member of the EU European Commission in 2035? resolve?
- Will Hungary still be a voting member of the EU European Commission in 2035? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2035.