PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Beth Van Duyne (R) · —
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Stored reference
Beth Van Duyne (R) 94.1%
Beth Van Duyne (R) 94.1%Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$210.8
Liquidity
$69K
High liquidityOpen interest
$11.5K
Bid / Ask
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Beth Van Duyne (R)Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jan 29, 26, 12:52 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Beth Van Duyne (R)
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Beth Van Duyne (R) is 95%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference Beth Van Duyne (R) 95% · 3 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Gemini — Texas-24 House Winner · Beth Van Duyne 94%
- Also available on Kalshi — TX-24 House winner? · Beth Van Duyne 92%